Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000693 0.000794 0.000900 0.001021 0.001154 0.001296 0.001459
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000538 0.000677 0.000836 0.001028 0.001253 0.001507 0.001813
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000439 0.000591 0.000772 0.001002 0.001283 0.001610 0.002018
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000362 0.000518 0.000714 0.000972 0.001298 0.001690 0.002193
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000313 0.000474 0.000684 0.000969 0.001340 0.001799 0.002400
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000275 0.000438 0.000659 0.000968 0.001382 0.001904 0.002603
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000239 0.000401 0.000628 0.000956 0.001406 0.001985 0.002775
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000207 0.000366 0.000596 0.000938 0.001417 0.002049 0.002923
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000190 0.000352 0.000592 0.000959 0.001482 0.002182 0.003166
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000175 0.000338 0.000587 0.000975 0.001540 0.002307 0.003399
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000154 0.000311 0.000561 0.000959 0.001550 0.002366 0.003543
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000134 0.000285 0.000533 0.000938 0.001552 0.002413 0.003671
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000121 0.000270 0.000521 0.000941 0.001590 0.002512 0.003874
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000111 0.000259 0.000514 0.000952 0.001638 0.002626 0.004103
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000236 0.000487 0.000927 0.001631 0.002660 0.004218
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000214 0.000458 0.000898 0.001616 0.002683 0.004315
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000201 0.000446 0.000896 0.001642 0.002763 0.004497
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000190 0.000435 0.000895 0.001669 0.002846 0.004684
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000177 0.000419 0.000884 0.001679 0.002903 0.004833
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000163 0.000401 0.000866 0.001677 0.002941 0.004955
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000160 0.000403 0.000886 0.001737 0.003076 0.005223
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000156 0.000402 0.000901 0.001790 0.003201 0.005478
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000145 0.000386 0.000886 0.001791 0.003242 0.005607